Gritz- realize hurricane track forecasting in not science. Just science based guesswork. We were told Sally not a problem for Pensacola and we got our socks rolled down by the eye of the storm..
If you want to follow the forecasting, this is an excellent site... He also does an updaate each evening on the storm progress and factors effecting the track and intensity. (Tropical Tidbits)
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/#28L
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